Comex Gold (GC)
With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, Gold’s recovery from 985.5 might have completed at 1011.1 already. Intraday bias is flipped back to the downside for 985.5 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 931.3 to 1025.8 at 967.4 next. On the upside, above 1011.1 will suggest that rise from 985.5 is still in progress for a retest on 1025.8/1033.9 resistance zone. Nevertheless, note that note that 1033.9 is needed to be firmly taken out to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, we’d expected more sideway trading below 1033.9 in near term.
In the bigger picture, rise from 681 is tentatively treated as resumption of long term up trend. Sustained break of 1033.9 high will confirm this case and should target 61.8% projection of 681 to 1007.7 from 931.3 at 1133.2 next. While some consolidations might be seen in near term before decisive break of 1033.9, downside should be contained well above 931.3 support and bring rally resumption. However, note that a break of 931.3 dampen the bullish view and suggest that rise from 681 has completed. This will in turn indicate that such rise is merely part of the consolidation pattern that started at 1033.9.
Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart
Comex Gold Continuous Contract Daily Chart