Nymex Crude Oil (CL)
Despite edging higher to 73.19, crude oil failed to sustain above 72.90 resistance and retreated. Intraday outlook is turned neutral again. On the upside, above 79.19 again will argue that choppy sideway trading since 75.0 might be completed and further rise should be seen to retest this resistance first. On the downside, below 68.02 will reaffirm the case that crude oil has topped out at 75.0 and will bring deeper fall to 65.23 for confirmation.
In the bigger picture, there is no change in the view that rise from 33.2 is a correction to whole down trend form 147.27. Question remains on whether such rally has completed at 75.0 already. Crude oil is now at important medium term trend line support. Sustained trading below will be the first alert that such rise has finished. Break of 58.32 will confirm this case and turn outlook bearish for 33.2 low next. On the upside, while another rise cannot be ruled out for the moment, strong resistance is expected as crude oil enters into 76.77/90.24 fibo resistance zone (38.2% and 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2) and bring reversal finally.
Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart
Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract Daily Chart
